This is a bit temperary so let's see how Primaries shake out. The only way the GOP has a shoot at taking down Gillenbrand is if Pataki gets in, and that seems unlikely. The Hayward-McCain Primary could change the direction of the race, Christ looks like he's going to lose the primary, but if he runs as an Independent, Florida will go crazy. In Arkansas If Lincoln Loses Democrats win if not they lose. My projection as of today is Democrats 55 Republicans 45.
Safe Dem (49)
WA
OR
HI
WI
VT
MD
NY (Schumer)
CT
Dem Favored (51)
CA
NY (Gillinbrand)
Lean Dem (54)
IL
PA
CO
Tossup (5)
AR
IN
MO
OH
NH
Lean GOP (41)
NV
FL
KY
NC
LA
GOP Favored (36)
DE
SC
GA
IA
AZ
Safe GOP (31)
ND
AK
SD
UT
ID
AL
OK
KS
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